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This article is also interesting (although from a few weeks ago) - it shows the A/E according to an xG model (not necessarily exactly the same as Experimental361's) http://www.thesackrace.com/news/29th-january-2016/experience-dominates-the-championships-value-added-index

Recency bias seems quite commonplace on here.

No, he's not done one yet PG. https://twitter.com/experimental361

It would be interesting to see this model weighted to account for "number of first choice players available" - we may fair a bit better.

Anyone have Boro down for a defeat today ??? These things are a bit pointless if you do the "predict the result every game" method IMHO.

Did anyone who did one of these predictors before tuesday have Blackburn and Birmingham down to win this week ???

Have FIVE teams ever finished on 84+ points ???