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I'm gonna with 3%, so for every 1000 games: 72 will finish 0-0 98 will finish 1-0 63 will finish 0-1 161 in total, 3% of which is 4.83 - lets call it 5.* So that means 0.5% of game the stalemate is broken only by an own goal If we take the previous odds of 8/1 (FGS market) and 10/1 (CS...

Thanks AZ Gull and Jam The Man This was where I got the 5% from but with only 32 games it's a poor sample: http://www.skautingtimdif.rs/biblioteka_analize/Evaluation%20of%20the%20goal.pdf This has the frequency of all the scores...

Yes, so the odds of it being 1-0 OR 0-1 AND an own goal scored. I don't think this happens enough to justify taking 8s instead of 10s but I'd like to see the working :moo:

I'm trying to work out if it's better to back 0-0 or no goalscorer. If the price is bigger I always back 0-0.

Does anybody have any stats about what percentage of goals scored are own goals ??? The figure I found was 5% :ohmy: This seems a bit high to me ???