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  1. Eric the meek

    [Albion] João Pedro's Penalties to end 2023

    They wouldn't have me back. But I've made two mistakes in a row now. Time to leave the maths to others.
  2. Eric the meek

    [Albion] João Pedro's Penalties to end 2023

    Good point. On 22% of occasions (previously 18%) the keeper guesses right. So for 78% of the time, the keeper gets it wrong. Note that he has to choose right or left, as none of Pedro's penalties go down the middle.
  3. Eric the meek

    [Albion] João Pedro's Penalties to end 2023

    Before this penalty, only 1 in 8 keepers had guessed the right way. Now it's 2 in 8. But we still scored from it anyway. I don't see this as a 'Pedro getting outsmarted' scenario or 'we're being found out' (teams tend not to share their analysis of rival teams), so I think it is just a blip.
  4. Eric the meek

    [Albion] João Pedro's Penalties to end 2023

    I'm not sure about the totally outsmarted bit. All teams will be doing their homework, but the reason the keeper went the right way could have been more mundane. An analysis of Pedro's previous pens reveals that a keeper would give himself the best chance of making a save if he were to go low...
  5. Eric the meek

    [Albion] João Pedro's Penalties to end 2023

    For the second penalty, the keeper positioned himself noticeably to his left on the goal line, (leaving a very inviting gap to his right). That was where he planned to dive. What did Pedro do? He put it to the keeper's left of course.
  6. Eric the meek

    [Albion] João Pedro's Penalties to end 2023

    The forum is agog. Small groups of middle aged men are murmuring to each other. Women are becoming moist in anticipation. What will the findings of @Papa Lazarou be?
  7. Eric the meek

    [Albion] João Pedro's Penalties to end 2023

    Observations: 1. The two pens where the keeper guessed right, were off the ground. This could be just chance of course. There is another one off the ground (Tot 2), where the keeper did not guess right. 2. Pedro seems to place them better when he takes a standard shot to the left. The...
  8. Eric the meek

    [Albion] João Pedro's Penalties to end 2023

    That's a very good penalty. The keeper didn't move. But on closer inspection, actually he did. I've looked at your clip, and I've played it a few times. The first time I played it, it fooled me. Obviously not on subsequent replays. But I can see why it fooled the keeper. The other...
  9. Eric the meek

    [Albion] João Pedro's Penalties to end 2023

    Excellent discussion. The stuttered run up is significant. There's going to be a reason for it. For a start, it gives him time. I think that a) he's keeping his options open and b) he is trying to prompt the keeper to decide which way he's going to dive and betray it with a 'tell'. It's...
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