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You miss the point entirely, I think. xG alone is vaguely interesting - it tells you not just how many chances were created, but factors in the quality of those chances. Agree with that much. What this graph misses is the state of games. Its plainly obvious that a (low ranked) side holding a...

Sorry, but it is HOPELESSLY flawed, to the edge of pointlessness. It makes ZERO allowance for the state of the respective games. In that run of three 1-0 wins for example, for a very large period of each game, one side (us as it happens) was ahead in the game, and attempting to see it out...