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will maguire-drew be able to play for them? would be a shame for him to miss out, have a feeling he won't be making many 5th round games in his career after this, and it's not like he'd be an enormous threat to us if he did play

most of the beatable teams have been drawn already...

trevor is right, it works like: team 1 not playing team 2, 3, or 4 = 12/15 team 2 also not playing team 3 or 4 = 12/14 team 3 also not playing team 4 = 12/13 put those all together and you get (12*12*12)/(15*14*13) = 63% answering the important questions