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I don't think the demographic will change significantly; it hasn't over the last 20 years or so. Whilst the old ones in the nursing homes die, others replace them, selling their flats and bungalows to retirees from outside the town. Meanwhile young people move away for University or work and...

Whilst I tend to agree that Amber Rudd will go, it won't be the Bexhill care homes that affect it as it's a different constituency (Bexhill and Battle, Huw Merriman, 22k majority)