Wired
I tried to find the stats on promotion teams vs relegation teams (75% wins H or A) or middle of the table (H 75% A 60%) or play-off contenders (H 38% A 24%).
Stats come out as
Newcastle 95
Brighton 95
Huddersfield 93
The snag is most likely after 45 games
Newcastle 92
Brighton...
Naylor was twitting that 90 pts would be enough when I said 97.
As Newcastle beat Huddersfield
I think we may need 95 which means winning at Villa. And winning all the home games.
This could happen if we lose at Leeds. 45 games, one to go.
This is not exaggerated and is less than the three clubs attained last season in the final 10 games.
http://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-championship/
It means going to Villa equalling Huddersfield result at home to...
Burnley (last season) got 6 wins and 4 draws in their last 10 games Huddersfield could = 22 pts +71 =93. All but one of their wins was by a single goal.
Middlesbro got 5-4-0 . Newcastle could get =19 +77 =96.
Why should Huddersfield slip up? Only Kasey Palmer is injured. They have good enough reserves anyway. No complacency as they are chasing. The only reason I can think of is their goalkeeper.
Newcastle could slip up because of complacency and because Hayden is injured.
EFL Championship Predictor
http://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-championship/
http://www.thefishy.co.uk/calculator0.php?Competition=2
I don't think 93 pts is going to do it. We have really got to beat Derby as only one more slip allowed.
Naylor and Ernest and WA Folly:
Up to 45 games
Newcastle H 3-1-1 A 2-2-0 +18 pts =95 minimum
http://www.statto.com/football/teams/newcastle-united
Brighton (beating Derby) H 5-1-0 A 2-0-2 +22 pts =96 max
http://www.statto.com/football/teams/brighton-and-hove-albion
Huddersfield H...