http://www.northstandchat.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=73474&d=1459941225&thumb=1&stc=1
The model gives us a 30% chance of the top 2. Plus 70%/4 through the playoffs equates to around a 47% chance of promotion. Given our form, round it up to 50/50.
PG
The opposite view is that one of 'Boro and Hull need a big form turnaround or we are in the box seat. I think we have been value in the market for a while now.
PG
Having had a play around with the calculator there is one clear conclusion.
The simulator is bolloc*s.
If you don't input any forecasts and leave it to 'recent form' then we finish 3rd with 79 points, EIGHT behind Hull in 2nd.
Whoever said: "assume everyone else averages 2 points per game...