Recent results give me more optimism. But I prefer that to be a bonus, rather than translate the optimism into numbers.
Remember John Cleese in Clockwise? "It's not the despair, Laura. I can take the despair. It's the hope I can't stand".
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So far this season, Albion have won an average of 1.79 points per game at home and 1.3 points per game when playing away. That points to a further 7 points coming our way at home and 4 more points coming from away games. The most likely way that this will be achieved is:-
Home wins against...
This prediction has EVERY team in the top six scoring more points on average in the next six games than they have managed to get in the first 39 (seven and 38, in the case of Cardiff). Extremely unlikely.
That's the problem with the BBC predictor - who would have imagined a set of results like...
My full table prediction has Wolves still fighting on the last day. And 53 points not being enough to stay up.
91 Cardiff City
84 Hull City
79 Watford
77 Crystal Palace
72 Nottingham Forest
71 Brighton & Hove Albion
69 Leicester City
64 Bolton Wanderers
64 Middlesbrough
62 Millwall
61...
Welcome to the Stattos' Club, El P.
This is my current season's end prediction:
91 Cardiff City
84 Hull City
79 Watford
77 Crystal Palace
72 Nottingham Forest
71 Brighton & Hove Albion
69 Leicester City
64 Bolton Wanderers
64 Middlesbrough
62 Millwall
Cardiff and Hull have already done...